Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-09

TB @ ATL

Home plate: Willie Traynor

“A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.9% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, TB
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 121 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 110 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.1*Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.3*Challenge 4: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲2 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Yandy Díaz vs Reynaldo López
  2. 2+0.23▲1 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Jonathan Aranda vs Reynaldo López
  3. 3+0.13▼4 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Drake Baldwin vs Griffin Jax

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X