Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-09

TB @ ATL

Home plate: Willie Traynor

A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.

C
Umpire Grade
89.3% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, TB
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 121 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 108 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.392 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Yandy Díaz vs Reynaldo López
  2. 2+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Jonathan Aranda vs Reynaldo López
  3. 3+0.231 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Junior Caminero vs Reynaldo López

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X