Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-11

COL @ DET

Home plate: Ron Kulpa

“The zone stretched its legs.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.9% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, DET
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Ron Kulpa called the 147 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 138 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Riley Greene — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Spencer Torkelson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Zac Veen — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▼6 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Riley Greene vs Mark Manfredi
  2. 2-0.20▲9 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Zac Veen vs Brant Hurter
  3. 3+0.19▼3 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Zach McKinstry vs Mason Adams

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Cole Carrigg — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Riley Greene — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Spencer Torkelson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Zac Veen — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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