Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-11

NYM @ NYY

Home plate: Nick Mahrley

“Borderline went to the battery all night.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.4% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, NYM
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nick Mahrley called the 151 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 138 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ben Rice — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.1*Challenge 2: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Mark Vientos — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.3*Challenge 4: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲8 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Mark Vientos vs Brent Headrick
  2. 2-0.30▼2 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Cody Bellinger vs Nolan McLean
  3. 3-0.28▼2 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Ben Rice vs Nolan McLean

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ben Rice — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Mark Vientos — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X