Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-12

CIN @ MIL

Home plate: Gabe Morales

The zone kept its promises.

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, MIL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Gabe Morales called the 185 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 177 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.301 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Jackson Chourio vs Brady Singer
  2. 2+0.302 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Brice Turang vs Brady Singer
  3. 3-0.196 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Juan Brito vs DL Hall

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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