Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-12

PIT @ CHC

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

“Called a fair game and let the players decide it.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, PIT
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 138 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 127 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Bryan Reynolds — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.21▲7 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Brandon Lowe vs Jacob Webb
  2. 2+0.19▲7 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Brandon Lowe vs Jacob Webb
  3. 3+0.13▲2 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Jacob Gonzalez vs Clay Holmes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Bryan Reynolds — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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