Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-13

PIT @ CHC

Home plate: Ryan Wills

The players kept asking for a second opinion — and kept getting one.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, PIT
5
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Wills called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 157 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Michael Busch — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Henry Davis — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Seiya Suzuki — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.697 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Seiya Suzuki vs Carmen Mlodzinski
  2. 2+0.191 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Oneil Cruz vs Matthew Boyd
  3. 3+0.137 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Seiya Suzuki vs Carmen Mlodzinski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Michael Busch — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Henry Davis — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Seiya Suzuki — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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