Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-14

NYY @ MIN

Home plate: John Tumpane

“A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.”

B-
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, MIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how John Tumpane called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 149 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Ben Rice — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.5*Challenge 6: Luke Keaschall — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼1 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Josh Bell vs Will Warren
  2. 2+0.69▼4 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Emmanuel Rodriguez vs Will Warren
  3. 3-0.69▲8 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Spencer Jones vs Tommy Nance

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Ben Rice — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Luke Keaschall — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X