Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-16

CWS @ CLE

Home plate: Edwin Moscoso

“The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, CLE
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Edwin Moscoso called the 143 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 132 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▼1 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Travis Bazzana vs Anthony Kay
  2. 2-0.21▼6 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Austin Hedges vs Hagen Smith
  3. 3+0.19▼6 · 2-0 strike called ball
    David Fry vs Hagen Smith

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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