Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-16

SEA @ LAA

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

“Expanded the plate a touch past its 17 inches.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, LAA
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 176 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 163 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Moisés Ballesteros — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.30▲5 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Taylor Ward vs Sammy Peralta
  2. 2+0.28▲9 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Taylor Ward vs Mitch Farris
  3. 3-0.21▲5 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Randy Arozarena vs Yusei Kikuchi

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Moisés Ballesteros — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Moisés Ballesteros — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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