Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-16

SF @ STL

Home plate: Mark Wegner

“You had to throw it down Broadway to get the call.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.8% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, SF
3
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Wegner called the 174 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jonah Cox — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Andrew Knizner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Andrew Knizner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Andrew Knizner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Leo Bernal — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Bryan Torres — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Andrew Knizner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▲3 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Bryce Eldridge vs Matthew Liberatore
  2. 2+0.30▲10 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Jung Hoo Lee vs Riley O'Brien
  3. 3-0.28▼3 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Pedro Pagés vs Anthony Molina

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jonah Cox — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Andrew Knizner — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Andrew Knizner — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Andrew Knizner — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Leo Bernal — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Bryan Torres — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Andrew Knizner — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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