Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-18

ATL @ HOU

Home plate: Lance Barrett

“The zone kept its promises.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.9% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, ATL
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barrett called the 147 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Taylor Trammell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼1 · 3-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Yordan Alvarez vs Tyler Mahle
  2. 2+0.23▲1 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Ronald Acuña Jr. vs Peter Lambert
  3. 3-0.13▲5 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Drake Baldwin vs Peter Lambert

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Taylor Trammell — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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