Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-19

TOR @ TEX

Home plate: Manny Gonzalez

“Called a fair game and let the players decide it.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, TEX
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Manny Gonzalez called the 116 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 111 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼2 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Wyatt Langford vs José Soriano
  2. 2+0.28▼5 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Evan Carter vs José Soriano
  3. 3+0.13▲2 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Jordan Montgomery

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alejandro Kirk — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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