Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-20

DET @ CWS

Home plate: Nate Tomlinson

“Off the corner was close enough tonight.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, CWS
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nate Tomlinson called the 180 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 168 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sam Antonacci — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Max Clark — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Gleyber Torres — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Gleyber Torres — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼4 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Colson Montgomery vs Troy Melton
  2. 2+0.28▼1 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Sam Antonacci vs Troy Melton
  3. 3-0.20▼5 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Braden Montgomery vs Ty Madden

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Sam Antonacci — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Kyle Teel — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Max Clark — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Gleyber Torres — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Gleyber Torres — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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