Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-23

MIA @ CHC

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

“Hawkeye clocked in early and stayed late.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.7% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CHC
7
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 139 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 133 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ian Happ — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Dansby Swanson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Heriberto Hernández — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Otto Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Kyle Stowers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲6 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Heriberto Hernández vs Kevin Gausman
  2. 2+0.39▲7 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Jakob Marsee vs Ryan Rolison
  3. 3+0.23▲2 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Jakob Marsee vs Kevin Gausman

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Ian Happ — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Dansby Swanson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Heriberto Hernández — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Miguel Amaya — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Otto Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  8. 8Kyle Stowers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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