Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-23

TB @ NYY

Home plate: James Hoye

“Corner-to-corner and then some.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, NYY
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how James Hoye called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 157 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: George Lombard Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Ali Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jorge Mateo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲4 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Richie Palacios vs Gerrit Cole
  2. 2+0.23▲2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Cedric Mullins vs Gerrit Cole
  3. 3+0.20▼7 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Jazz Chisholm Jr. vs Steven Matz

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1George Lombard Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Ali Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Jorge Mateo — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X