Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-27

NYM @ WSH

Home plate: Jen Pawol

“Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.8% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, WSH
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Jen Pawol called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Torrens — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Marcus Semien — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Brady House — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼1 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Brady House vs Sean Manaea
  2. 2+0.28▲2 · 1-2 strike called ball
    A.J. Ewing vs DJ Herz
  3. 3-0.20▼3 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Brady House vs Sean Manaea

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luis Torrens — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Marcus Semien — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Brady House — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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