Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-29

CWS @ HOU

Home plate: Alex MacKay

“Pitchers earned every strike the hard way.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.5% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, HOU
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex MacKay called the 159 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 147 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Munetaka Murakami — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▲6 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Kyle Teel vs Josh Hendrickson
  2. 2+0.23▼8 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Isaac Paredes vs Grant Taylor
  3. 3+0.13▲1 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Sam Antonacci vs AJ Blubaugh

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Munetaka Murakami — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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