Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-30

CWS @ HOU

Home plate: Alex Tosi

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.1% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, CWS
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 172 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 167 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Munetaka Murakami — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Lucas Spence — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▼9 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Lucas Spence vs Erick Fedde
  2. 2+0.28▲3 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Chase Meidroth vs Peter Lambert
  3. 3+0.10▲1 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Chase Meidroth vs Hunter Brown

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Munetaka Murakami — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Lucas Spence — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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