Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-03

“A busy night for the machines in the truck.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, NYY
5
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Shane Livensparger called the 120 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 112 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Austin Wells — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Cody Bellinger — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼5 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Junior Caminero vs Gerrit Cole
  2. 2+0.28▼1 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Chandler Simpson vs Gerrit Cole
  3. 3-0.13▼8 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Chandler Simpson vs Brent Headrick

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Austin Wells — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Cody Bellinger — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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