Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-03

ATL @ LAD

Home plate: Roberto Ortiz

“The Automated Ball-Strike System put in some overtime here.”

C
Umpire Grade
89.6% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, LAD
6
ABS Overturns
of 9 reviewed

What this shows — how Roberto Ortiz called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Michael Harris II — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Andy Pages — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Matt Olson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Sean Murphy — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Ronald Acuña Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8Challenge 9: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).9
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼1 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Mookie Betts vs Dylan Dodd
  2. 2+0.39▼2 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Teoscar Hernández vs Dylan Dodd
  3. 3+0.28▲2 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Austin Riley vs Tarik Skubal

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

9 pitches went to the robots · 6 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Michael Harris II — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Andy Pages — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Sean Murphy — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Matt Olson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  7. 7Sean Murphy — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  8. 8Ronald Acuña Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  9. 9Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 9 of 9 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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