Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-10

CWS @ CLE

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

“Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CLE
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 126 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 117 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Kyle Teel — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Miguel Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Tristan Peters — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▼6 · 1-2 ball called strike
    José Ramírez vs Sean Newcomb
  2. 2+0.23▼5 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Brayan Rocchio vs Sean Burke
  3. 3-0.21▲6 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Miguel Vargas vs Gavin Williams

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Kyle Teel — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Miguel Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Tristan Peters — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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