Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-13

CLE @ TB

Home plate: Carlos Torres

“The zone leaned, and the ledger noticed.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, TB
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Carlos Torres called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 113 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Steven Kwan — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲7 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Patrick Bailey vs Kevin Kelly
  2. 2+0.39▼4 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Junior Caminero vs Parker Messick
  3. 3-0.13▲3 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Steven Kwan vs Freddy Peralta

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Steven Kwan — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Patrick Bailey — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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