Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-10-28

MIL @ TB

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

“A steady night's work behind the plate.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, TB
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 124 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 117 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.20▼1 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Junior Caminero vs Jacob Misiorowski
  2. 2+0.13▼2 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Chandler Simpson vs Jacob Misiorowski
  3. 3+0.10▼5 · 0-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Ryan Vilade vs Jacob Misiorowski

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X