Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-26

PIT @ NYM

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.7% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, PIT
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 153 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Marcus Semien — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.21▼1 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Francisco Lindor vs Paul Skenes
  2. 2-0.20▲9 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Ryan O'Hearn vs Luis García
  3. 3+0.13▲3 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Henry Davis vs Freddy Peralta

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Marcus Semien — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Francisco Alvarez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.