Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-28

TEX @ PHI

Home plate: D.J. Reyburn

Somebody's pitching staff sent a thank-you note.

B
Umpire Grade
92.1% accurate
1.3
Run Favor
runs, PHI
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how D.J. Reyburn called the 189 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 174 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Evan Carter — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Justin Crawford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.395 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Jake Burger vs Aaron Nola
  2. 2-0.399 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Evan Carter vs Tim Mayza
  3. 3+0.237 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Adolis García vs Jakob Junis

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Evan Carter — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Justin Crawford — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Kyle Schwarber — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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