Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-31

CLE @ LAD

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

If it was close, it was a strike. The hitters noticed.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, CLE
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 169 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 157 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Bo Naylor — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Gabriel Arias — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.233 · 0-2 ball called strike
    Mookie Betts vs Tanner Bibee
  2. 2+0.133 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    CJ Kayfus vs Shohei Ohtani
  3. 3-0.137 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Bo Naylor vs Alex Vesia

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Bo Naylor — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Gabriel Arias — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X