Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-31

PIT @ CIN

Home plate: Jordan Baker

“Expanded the plate a touch past its 17 inches.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.6% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, PIT
0
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 190 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 174 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Dane Myers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nick Gonzales — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲4 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Nick Yorke vs Brandon Williamson
  2. 2-0.39▲6 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Oneil Cruz vs Brock Burke
  3. 3-0.30▼5 · 3-1 ball called strike
    TJ Friedl vs Bubba Chandler

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Dane Myers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Nick Gonzales — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.