Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-01

NYM @ STL

Home plate: Nic Lentz

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A
Umpire Grade
96.3% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, STL
2
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 157 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Matthew Liberatore — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Freddy Peralta — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Thomas Saggese — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Masyn Winn vs Freddy Peralta
  2. 2+0.139 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Masyn Winn vs Devin Williams
  3. 3+0.105 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Nathan Church vs Freddy Peralta

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Pedro Pagés — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Matthew Liberatore — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Freddy Peralta — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Thomas Saggese — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.