Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-01

PIT @ CIN

Home plate: Rob Drake

The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.

B
Umpire Grade
93.0% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, PIT
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Yorke — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Spencer Steer — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Marcell Ozuna — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Gregory Soto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.204 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Nick Yorke vs Andrew Abbott
  2. 2-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    TJ Friedl vs Paul Skenes
  3. 3+0.135 · 1-0 strike called ball
    TJ Friedl vs Paul Skenes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Yorke — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Spencer Steer — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Marcell Ozuna — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Gregory Soto — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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