Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-07

BAL @ CWS

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.6% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, BAL
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 189 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 175 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Samuel Basallo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Derek Hill — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▼1 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Miguel Vargas vs Trevor Rogers
  2. 2+0.28▼3 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Lenyn Sosa vs Trevor Rogers
  3. 3+0.28▼4 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Colson Montgomery vs Trevor Rogers

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Samuel Basallo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Derek Hill — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.