Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-07

LAD @ TOR

Home plate: Dan Merzel

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A
Umpire Grade
95.6% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, TOR
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Merzel called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 131 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kazuma Okamoto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Will Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.219 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Ernie Clement vs Edwin Díaz
  2. 2+0.102 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Jesús Sánchez vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
  3. 3+0.108 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Freddie Freeman vs Louis Varland

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Brandon Valenzuela — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Kazuma Okamoto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Will Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.