Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-11

LAA @ CIN

Home plate: Adam Beck

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CIN
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Adam Beck called the 201 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 190 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Zach Neto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼1 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Spencer Steer vs George Klassen
  2. 2+0.21▼1 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Tyler Stephenson vs George Klassen
  3. 3+0.20▲2 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Yoán Moncada vs Brandon Williamson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Zach Neto — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Tyler Stephenson — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.