Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-11

MIN @ TOR

Home plate: Tom Hanahan

The plate grew a few inches after the first pitch.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.4% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, MIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Tom Hanahan called the 140 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 128 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Austin Martin — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Davis Schneider — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.393 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Victor Caratini vs Eric Lauer
  2. 2-0.304 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Austin Martin vs Eric Lauer
  3. 3+0.201 · 2-1 strike called ball
    George Springer vs Joe Ryan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Austin Martin — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Davis Schneider — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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