Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-12

COL @ SD

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.

A
Umpire Grade
95.6% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, SD
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 137 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 131 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Xander Bogaerts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.307 · 3-1 ball called strike
    TJ Rumfield vs David Morgan
  2. 2+0.238 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Ramón Laureano vs Victor Vodnik
  3. 3-0.203 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Xander Bogaerts vs Valente Bellozo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Xander Bogaerts — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Hunter Goodman — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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