Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-13

NYM @ LAD

Home plate: Nic Lentz

A pitcher's-nightmare zone — you had to paint it to get it.

C+
Umpire Grade
91.0% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, LAD
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 122 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 111 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Mark Vientos — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Francisco Alvarez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Max Muncy — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Will Smith — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.208 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Max Muncy vs Joey Gerber
  2. 2+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Kyle Tucker vs David Peterson
  3. 3+0.135 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Will Smith vs David Peterson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Mark Vientos — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Francisco Alvarez — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Max Muncy — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Will Smith — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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