Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-17

CIN @ MIN

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

“The grade leaned — the ledger says which way.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.2% accurate
2.8
Run Favor
runs, MIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 155 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Tyler Stephenson — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Luke Keaschall — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲6 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Sal Stewart vs Joe Ryan
  2. 2-0.69▲9 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Matt McLain vs Cole Sands
  3. 3-0.30▲9 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Elly De La Cruz vs Cole Sands

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Tyler Stephenson — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Luke Keaschall — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Victor Caratini — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.