Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-17

TEX @ SEA

Home plate: Jordan Baker

“A tilt to the evening — the numbers say which way.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.1% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, SEA
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 169 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 159 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luke Raley — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Josh Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼3 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Cal Raleigh vs Jacob deGrom
  2. 2+0.21▼1 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Cal Raleigh vs Jacob deGrom
  3. 3+0.13▼4 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Luke Raley vs Jacob deGrom

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Luke Raley — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Josh Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.