Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-17

TEX @ SEA

Home plate: Jordan Baker

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.1% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, SEA
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Jordan Baker called the 169 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 159 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luke Raley — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Josh Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.393 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Cal Raleigh vs Jacob deGrom
  2. 2+0.211 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Cal Raleigh vs Jacob deGrom
  3. 3+0.199 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Evan Carter vs Casey Legumina

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luke Raley — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Josh Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X