Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-25

SEA @ STL

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.6% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, STL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 141 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Randy Arozarena — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Yohel Pozo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.21▲3 · 3-0 strike called ball
    J.P. Crawford vs Matthew Liberatore
  2. 2-0.20▲7 · 2-1 ball called strike
    J.P. Crawford vs JoJo Romero
  3. 3+0.20▲9 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Connor Joe vs Matt Svanson

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Randy Arozarena — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Yohel Pozo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.