Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-26

BOS @ BAL

Home plate: Alex Tosi

“The zone leaned, and the ledger noticed.”

B
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, BOS
0
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 138 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 127 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Willson Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Willson Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Taylor Ward — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲1 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Roman Anthony vs Kyle Bradish
  2. 2+0.13▲3 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Connor Wong vs Kyle Bradish
  3. 3-0.13▲6 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Caleb Durbin vs Yennier Cano

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Willson Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Willson Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Taylor Ward — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.