Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-28

AZ @ MIL

Home plate: Lance Barrett

Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, MIL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barrett called the 169 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 158 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Garrett Mitchell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.201 · 2-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Garrett Mitchell vs Merrill Kelly
  2. 2+0.204 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Sal Frelick vs Merrill Kelly
  3. 3+0.136 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Garrett Mitchell vs Andrew Hoffmann

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Garrett Mitchell — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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