Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-28

LAA @ CWS

Home plate: Nic Lentz

A small strike zone, generously enforced for the offense.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.8% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, CWS
2
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 145 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 136 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Munetaka Murakami — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Drew Romo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nolan Schanuel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Sebastián Rivero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Sebastián Rivero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Oswald Peraza — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.697 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Colson Montgomery vs Joey Lucchesi
  2. 2+0.305 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Jorge Soler vs Davis Martin
  3. 3+0.207 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Munetaka Murakami vs Joey Lucchesi

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Munetaka Murakami — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Drew Romo — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Nolan Schanuel — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Sebastián Rivero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Sebastián Rivero — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Oswald Peraza — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 6 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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