Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-29

SEA @ MIN

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

“The plate grew a few inches after the first pitch.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SEA
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 176 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 165 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Luke Keaschall — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Matt Wallner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Kody Clemens — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.13▲4 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Josh Naylor vs Taj Bradley
  2. 2-0.13▼7 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Austin Martin vs José A. Ferrer
  3. 3-0.13▲1 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Cal Raleigh vs Taj Bradley

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Ryan Jeffers — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Luke Keaschall — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Matt Wallner — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Kody Clemens — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.