Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-01

PHI @ MIA

Home plate: Mark Wegner

“Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.7% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, PHI
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Wegner called the 181 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 175 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Rafael Marchán — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.20▼9 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Xavier Edwards vs Brad Keller
  2. 2-0.19▼9 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Xavier Edwards vs Brad Keller
  3. 3-0.13▼9 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Jakob Marsee vs Brad Keller

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Liam Hicks — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Rafael Marchán — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.