Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-03

ATL @ COL

Home plate: Bill Miller

“Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.5% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, COL
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Bill Miller called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 154 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Eli White — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Brett Sullivan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Mauricio Dubón — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▼7 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Troy Johnston vs Reynaldo López
  2. 2+0.23▲3 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Austin Riley vs Kyle Freeland
  3. 3-0.21▲6 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Mauricio Dubón vs Antonio Senzatela

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Brett Sullivan — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Eli White — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Brett Sullivan — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Mauricio Dubón — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.