Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-03

MIL @ WSH

Home plate: Rob Drake

An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.1% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, WSH
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Rob Drake called the 118 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 111 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.236 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged
    James Wood vs Logan Henderson
  2. 2+0.195 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Sal Frelick vs Zack Littell
  3. 3-0.139 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged
    Gary Sánchez vs Gus Varland

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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