Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-06

MIN @ WSH

Home plate: Carlos Torres

Solid and unspectacular — exactly what the job asks.

A
Umpire Grade
96.2% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, WSH
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Carlos Torres called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 125 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Curtis Mead — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Victor Caratini — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.395 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Curtis Mead vs Bailey Ober
  2. 2+0.398 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Daylen Lile vs Justin Topa
  3. 3+0.092 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Victor Caratini vs Miles Mikolas

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Curtis Mead — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Victor Caratini — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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