Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-09

PIT @ SF

Home plate: Jacob Metz

Borderline went to the battery all night.

D
Umpire Grade
88.7% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, PIT
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Jacob Metz called the 186 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 165 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nick Gonzales — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Marcell Ozuna — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Bryce Eldridge — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Eric Haase — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Eric Haase — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.394 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Spencer Horwitz vs Landen Roupp
  2. 2-0.282 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Spencer Horwitz vs Landen Roupp
  3. 3+0.211 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Ryan O'Hearn vs Landen Roupp

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nick Gonzales — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Marcell Ozuna — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Bryce Eldridge — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Eric Haase — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Eric Haase — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X