Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-12

SD @ MIL

Home plate: Ryan Additon

“The zone shrank when the pitchers needed it most.”

C+
Umpire Grade
90.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, SD
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Ryan Additon called the 131 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 119 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.30▲9 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Ramón Laureano vs Abner Uribe
  2. 2+0.21▼2 · 3-0 strike called ball
    William Contreras vs Matt Waldron
  3. 3+0.13▲1 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Brandon Sproat

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Freddy Fermin — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.