Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-16

CIN @ CLE

Home plate: Tyler Jones

The zone leaned, and the ledger noticed.

A
Umpire Grade
95.1% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, CIN
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 154 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Sal Stewart — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Travis Bazzana — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.397 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Steven Kwan vs Sam Moll
  2. 2+0.209 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Will Benson vs Cade Smith
  3. 3+0.133 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Ke'Bryan Hayes vs Joey Cantillo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Sal Stewart — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Travis Bazzana — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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