Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-16

MIL @ MIN

Home plate: Stu Scheurwater

Pitchers found a little extra real estate.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.8% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, MIL
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Stu Scheurwater called the 119 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 108 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Tristan Gray — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.395 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Sal Frelick vs Connor Prielipp
  2. 2-0.206 · 2-1 ball called strike
    William Contreras vs Connor Prielipp
  3. 3+0.207 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Gary Sánchez vs Eric Orze

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Tristan Gray — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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